MMasters in Business
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StrategyPedro Earp

Consumer-Backward Portfolio Design

Design the ideal portfolio from customer needs before choosing brands or deals

Difficulty
Advanced
Time to result
~months to results
Steps
6
Confidence
96%

Consumer-backward portfolio design reverses the common sequence of acquiring or creating a product and then searching for an audience. The company first maps the total addressable population in a market and segments it according to needs, behaviors, occasions, and preferred styles. It then defines the ideal portfolio capable of serving those segments. Only after establishing those requirements does it decide whether to create a brand internally, acquire one, or partner with an existing producer. Marketing and integration also flow from the target segment: an engaged craft community might respond to brewery events, while a mass-market extension may require broad distribution and media. The result is a portfolio whose assets and channels have explicit customer roles rather than overlapping without strategic purpose.

Origin

Extracted from Masters in Business as Pedro Earp described AB InBev's consumer-led, sometimes 'programmatic' approach to acquisitions and brand partnerships.

Core principles

  • 01Start with customers rather than available assets
  • 02Segment the total addressable population by needs
  • 03Match product and brand styles to each segment
  • 04Build, buy, or partner only after defining the ideal portfolio
  • 05Choose channels according to the target customer's behavior

How to run it

  1. 1

    Map the addressable population

    Estimate the full customer population in the target market and gather evidence about its behaviors and consumption occasions.

    Pro tip Include noncustomers whose needs could plausibly be served.

    Watch out Do not equate the existing category audience with the total opportunity.

  2. 2

    Segment customer needs

    Group customers according to meaningful needs, preferences, and engagement patterns rather than broad demographics alone.

    Pro tip Use occasions and desired outcomes to make segments actionable.

    Watch out Segments that do not change a portfolio decision add little value.

  3. 3

    Specify ideal offers

    Define which product or beverage styles could best serve each segment. Identify unmet needs and unnecessary overlaps.

    Pro tip Describe the required proposition before naming a brand.

    Watch out Starting with a favored acquisition can bias the analysis.

  4. 4

    Design the portfolio

    Combine the required propositions into an ideal market portfolio with a clear role for each component.

    Pro tip State which segment and occasion each asset owns.

    Watch out Avoid adding brands that merely duplicate an existing role.

  5. 5

    Choose build, buy, or partner

    Decide whether internal creation, acquisition, or partnership is the best route for filling each portfolio gap.

    Pro tip Consider community trust and founder capabilities alongside financial value.

    Watch out Acquisition can destroy the qualities that made a local brand valuable.

  6. 6

    Match channels to consumers

    Choose integration, distribution, events, and communications according to how the target segment discovers and engages with products.

    Pro tip Preserve high-touch channels for highly engaged communities.

    Watch out Do not impose mass-market tactics on a community-led brand.

In the wild

Camden Town Brewery partnership

AB InBev partnered with Camden Town Brewery, whose customers had strong ties to the brewery, neighborhood, community, and beer. Rather than relying heavily on advertising, the company promoted the brand through weekly brewery events and community growth.

→ The route to market reflected the craft audience's existing engagement rather than imposing a generic mass-media playbook.

Filling a portfolio gap

A beverage company maps a growing segment seeking alcohol-free products for social occasions. It specifies the required taste, positioning, and distribution before comparing internal development with potential partners.

→ The selected offer fills a defined customer need instead of becoming an opportunistic acquisition.

Common mistakes

Starting with the deal

Beginning with an available acquisition encourages teams to rationalize customer demand after the fact.

Using demographic-only segments

Age or income alone may not reveal the needs, occasions, and engagement patterns that determine portfolio fit.

Standardizing every launch

Different audiences require different channels, community relationships, and levels of advertising.

Is it for you?

Best for

It is best for companies deciding which products, brands, or partnerships belong in a multi-brand portfolio.

Not ideal for

It is not ideal when the company lacks reliable customer segmentation or cannot support multiple routes to market.

From the transcript

“we started with with the consumer you know, and we try to map out in in every market what's kind of the total addressable you…”

Pedro Earp · 36:01

“we start from the consumer lenses and then we go backwards and we define what the perfect portfolio that we need in order to you…”

Pedro Earp · 36:29

“the important thing here always is to start from you know, from the consumer backwards and then define what brands you need to create or…”

Pedro Earp · 37:58

From the episode

Pedro Earp on the Business of Beer (Podcast)

Pedro Earp

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