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Tim Hockey10 July 2019

Tim Hockey and Tom Nally Discuss Robo Advisors

5Frameworks
13Insights

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Insights & moments

The myth-busts, hot takes, explainers, and tools worth keeping.

Myth Buster· 1

Myth Buster22:06

Why “Free” Financial Services Still Have a Price

The speakers expect continued price pressure wherever competitors can earn a reasonable return at a lower price. They reject the idea of genuinely free financial services, arguing that costs appear through another pricing mechanism and that firms should differentiate through product and client experience rather than compete only in a race to zero.

  • Excess margins invite lower-priced competitors.
  • Falling prices reward consumers but also force scale and consolidation.
  • A provider must earn a margin somewhere when it supplies value.
  • Competing only on price creates a race to the bottom.
  • Client experience becomes more important as headline prices converge.

“there's no such thing as a free lunch. There never has been.”

Tim Hockey · 24:39

“price itself is a race to the bottom”

Tim Hockey · 25:32
#fees#pricing#client-experience#competition

Hot Take· 2

Hot Take19:19

Robo Advice Is a Technology, Not a Standalone Business Model

Hockey argues that robo advice is another automation layer rather than a durable business model by itself. Fully automated providers struggle with distribution, brand, human support, and the scale required for attractive economics, while established firms can add the technology to existing relationships and channels.

  • Automation alone does not define a complete advisory business.
  • Clients commonly need a human element alongside automated investing.
  • Standalone robo economics may require tens of billions in assets.
  • Established firms possess brand, distribution, and existing client trust.
  • Advisor demand for a separate down-market robo offering remained weak.

“we've long thought that robo isn't a business model. It's a technology”

Tim Hockey · 19:49

“you can't really get to scale until you're at a fifty or sixty billion dollar asset level”

Tim Hockey · 20:20
#robo-advisors#fintech#distribution#automation#scale
Hot Take56:04

The Future Advisory Firm May Hire More Psychology Majors Than Quants

As tactical and operational work becomes automated, Nally expects the advisor’s differentiating value to concentrate in empathetic person-to-person relationships. That shift changes recruiting priorities toward psychology, sociology, and other backgrounds associated with understanding and relating to people.

  • Routine advisory operations will become increasingly automated.
  • Human empathy and relationship development will remain central.
  • Hiring criteria should evolve with the work that creates client value.
  • Psychology and sociology graduates may complement traditional finance talent.
  • Industry demographics must better reflect changing concentrations of wealth.

“the real value that's going to get delivered is going to be with that person to person relationship.”

Tom Nally · 56:30

“It's about going through the humanity schools and put pulling in the psychology majors, the sociology majors”

Tom Nally · 57:01
#future-of-advice#hiring#empathy#automation#talent

Explainer· 5

Explainer08:39

How RIAs Expanded From Portfolio Shops to Financial Life Guides

Tom Nally describes the evolution of independent advisory firms from portfolio-allocation businesses into comprehensive wealth managers. Clients increasingly expect advice on nearly everything involving money, forcing custodians and advisors to broaden services while maintaining quality at scale.

  • Early RIA firms concentrated primarily on portfolio allocation.
  • Advisors expanded into comprehensive wealth management.
  • Clients increasingly expect guidance across their entire financial lives.
  • RIA market share gained ground as consumers and advisors embraced independence.

“When I first started, most are A firms were portfolio allocation shops, and then they started to become comprehensive wealth management firms, adding on more…”

Tom Nally · 08:46

“give me advice on all things that have to do with money in my life, and think about that. I mean, it's basically everything.”

Tom Nally · 09:05
#rias#wealth-management#financial-advice#independence
Explainer39:18

Why Zero Commissions Make Client Cash More Important

As trading commissions and other revenue sources compress, brokerage firms rely more heavily on the economics of idle client cash. Hockey distinguishes transactional cash from deliberately invested cash and explains that higher-yielding money funds may require an explicit purchase rather than an automatic sweep.

  • Brokerage revenue historically came from a more varied mix.
  • Lower commissions increase dependence on cash-related revenue.
  • Transactional retail cash can be unusually sticky.
  • Interest-rate changes create strategic risk for cash-dependent models.
  • Purchased money funds may yield more than automatic bank-deposit sweeps.

“if commissions were to be zero in the brokerage space, cash would be even more important as a way of getting paid”

Tim Hockey · 41:05

“we actually look at the differentiation between transactional cash and invest in cash”

Tim Hockey · 41:39
#cash#brokerage#interest-rates#revenue-models
Explainer42:03

Why Younger Investors and Employees Are Accelerating ESG Demand

ESG adoption in the United States had lagged Europe, but Hockey says public-company investors were already demanding clearer positions and greater attention. Both speakers connect future growth to younger investors and employees who increasingly expect companies and portfolios to reflect explicit values and purposes.

  • Institutional investors were increasing ESG scrutiny of public companies.
  • The belief that values-based investing necessarily sacrifices returns was weakening.
  • Younger investors increasingly connect money with moral priorities.
  • Employees also expect corporate leaders to state what their companies stand for.
  • Demand should rise as younger cohorts accumulate more assets.

“the trend, certainly with the younger investor has been very much to put their money where their their morals.”

Tim Hockey · 43:20

“they want to know what your company stands for, what your mission, your values, your purpose”

Tom Nally · 43:47
#esg#younger-investors#corporate-values#sustainable-investing
Explainer45:14

Direct Indexing Can Remove Risks Clients Already Carry Elsewhere

Direct indexing can customize portfolios around a client’s employment, industry, style, or ethical exposure. The opportunity depends on technology making highly individualized holdings and exclusions cost-efficient enough to administer at scale.

  • A client’s career may create concentrated exposure outside the portfolio.
  • Customized indexing can reduce or remove selected stocks and sectors.
  • Some advisors were already implementing customization manually.
  • Technology must control the complexity and cost of individualized portfolios.
  • Customization can become part of an advisor’s value proposition.

“His whole life is exposed to oil and energy. Wouldn't it be great if we can just dial down the energy in his portfolio.”

Barry Ritholtz · 45:29

“understanding what is the unmet need that the client has, what problem are they trying to solve for, and then leverage technology to make it…”

Tim Hockey · 47:00
#direct-indexing#portfolio-customization#concentration-risk#technology
Explainer50:58

Why Regulation Best Interest Risked Confusing Consumers

The speakers support raising conduct standards for brokers but worry that Regulation Best Interest could blur the distinction between brokerage sales and fiduciary advice. Consumers often assume anyone called an advisor already acts in their best interest, making unclear labels and overlapping standards especially consequential.

  • Higher broker standards can improve consumer outcomes.
  • A salesperson may appear equivalent to a fiduciary advisor.
  • Consumers often do not understand the regulatory distinction.
  • Complex implementation can create more confusion than protection.
  • Different state fiduciary rules could create a fragmented national system.

“you don't want a situation where a broker who's really acting as a salesperson is positioning themselves as an advisor”

Tom Nally · 52:05

“You say the word fiduciary and they don't really get what that is. It just it muddies the water.”

Tim Hockey · 53:47
#regulation-best-interest#fiduciary#brokers#consumer-protection

Story· 1

Story50:16

How the Financial Crisis Accelerated the Shift to Independent Advice

The financial crisis damaged major wirehouse brands and made consumers more attentive to advisor incentives and payment structures. Advisors also discovered that client loyalty often belonged to the individual relationship rather than the institution, increasing momentum toward independent RIA firms.

  • The crisis weakened trust in large wirehouse brands.
  • Consumers became more aware of financial relationships and compensation.
  • Captive advisors saw an opportunity to serve clients independently.
  • Client loyalty often followed the advisor rather than the corporate brand.
  • The crisis accelerated an existing shift toward RIAs.

“the financial crisis was kind of an accelerant for the r a flame if you think about it.”

Tom Nally · 50:16

“my clients more loyal to me than they are to the brand on the roof.”

Tom Nally · 50:40
#financial-crisis#rias#wirehouses#independence

Q&A· 1

Q&A59:22

How TD Bank Enabled TD Ameritrade’s Capital-Light Model

Hockey explains that TD Bank transferred its direct-investing business to Ameritrade and retained an ownership position. Sweeping deposits to the bank allowed TD Ameritrade to avoid becoming a bank itself, reducing regulatory burden and letting management focus on brokerage and institutional services.

  • TD Bank transferred TD Waterhouse’s direct-investing business to Ameritrade.
  • TD Bank retained an ownership stake.
  • Client deposits could be swept to the bank.
  • The arrangement allowed TD Ameritrade to remain capital-light.
  • Avoiding bank status reduced regulatory demands and preserved management focus.

“by taking these deposits sweeping them over to a bank, it has meant that we haven't needed to become a bank.”

Tim Hockey · 1:00:23

“it just allows my management team to very much focus on being a better provider of of our institutional services and and being a better…”

Tim Hockey · 1:00:57
#td-ameritrade#td-bank#brokerage#capital-light

Takeaway· 3

Takeaway13:28

Automation Should Free Advisors to Answer “Am I Going to Be Okay?”

Technology can automate trading, rebalancing, risk management, CRM, reporting, and administrative work. Nally argues that its highest value is freeing advisors to understand clients’ hopes and fears, because clients ultimately seek reassurance and guidance rather than isolated benchmark outperformance.

  • Mature technology can improve efficiency and client experience immediately.
  • Consumer expectations are shaped by companies beyond financial services.
  • Automation should absorb tactical work across the advisory business.
  • Human time should shift toward deeper relationships and emotional needs.

“technology really is the biggest opportunity out there because if you think about everything in your business is pretty much going to be automated”

Tom Nally · 15:03

“Nobody ever walks in the offense says I want to beat the SMP by five points. They walk in and say, am I gonna be…”

Tom Nally · 15:35
#advisor-technology#automation#client-experience#empathy
Takeaway29:48

The Advisor’s Highest Value May Be Preventing Client Self-Sabotage

Behavioral coaching can matter more than asset allocation or security selection when panic causes investors to abandon a sound plan. The speakers emphasize disciplined processes, accountability, and keeping clients focused on long-term goals during volatility.

  • Poor investor behavior can erase the benefits of good portfolio design.
  • Many people hire financial planners only after making avoidable mistakes.
  • Advisors shift toward reassuring existing clients during volatile markets.
  • A coach reinforces discipline that clients may not maintain alone.
  • Small disciplined actions compound into major long-term differences.

“none of that matters if your behavior is inappropriate.”

Barry Ritholtz · 30:13

“It's just human nature to shoot ourselves in the foot, and the advisor there to stop that.”

Tim Hockey · 32:02
#behavioral-finance#coaching#discipline#market-volatility
Takeaway57:41

Technology and Falling Prices Will Drive Industry Consolidation

Hockey predicts consolidation across custodians, advisors, and other market participants because clients will demand more services, greater transparency, and lower prices. Firms need sufficient scale to spread rising technology and service investment across a larger client base.

  • Client prices are expected to continue falling.
  • Delivering broader services requires increasing investment.
  • Scale spreads fixed technology and capability costs across more clients.
  • Consolidation should occur across multiple levels of the industry.
  • Technology can create scale faster than traditional expansion alone.

“there will continue to be consolidation in this space because the investment required to deliver on what Tom was just saying is going to get…”

Tim Hockey · 57:45

“scale from for lower and lower and lower price is going to be incredibly important.”

Tim Hockey · 59:17
#consolidation#scale#advisory-industry#technology