Why Every Investment Era Feels Competitive Until It Ends
Klinsky argues that investors rarely recognize favorable or unfavorable conditions while living through them. Competitive pressure feels persistent, and the quality of an era becomes apparent mainly in hindsight; paradoxically, bad news often creates opportunity while good news incubates problems.
- Investment conditions are easier to judge retrospectively than contemporaneously.
- Competition feels intense even when an era later appears unusually attractive.
- Bad news can lower prices and create opportunities.
- Good news can attract capital and produce future excesses.
“The truth is it always feels competitive, no matter where you are in history or any given time.”
“bad news usually leads to good opportunities, and good news usually leads to problems.”