MMasters in Business
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18 February 2022

Samantha McLemore on Longevity Risk Management

5Frameworks
11Insights

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Frameworks in this episode

Insights & moments

The myth-busts, hot takes, explainers, and tools worth keeping.

Hot Take· 2

Hot Take34:32

Style Boxes Can Protect Asset Growth While Hurting Investment Returns

McLemore argues that rigid growth and value classifications constrain a manager’s ability to pursue the best opportunities across market cycles. Such flexibility may make institutional fundraising harder, but she prefers stronger returns for fewer clients over mediocre results for a larger asset base.

  • Investment constraints reduce portfolio flexibility
  • Different styles lead during different market regimes
  • Institutional selection systems can penalize flexible managers
  • Asset gathering and return generation are not always aligned

“When you when you start putting in constraints, um, obviously that hinders your ability to optimize because they hurt your flexibility.”

Samantha McLemore · 34:50

“we'd rather produced excellent returns for fewer clients than mediocre returns for many.”

Samantha McLemore · 36:21
#style boxes#active management#institutional investing#flexibility
Hot Take49:08

A Big Tech Breakup Could Unlock Value Instead of Destroying It

McLemore acknowledges persistent regulatory risk but considers an imminent breakup of major technology companies unlikely. For some holdings, separating business units could reveal value that consolidated market prices currently overlook, although operating synergies would be lost.

  • Regulatory concern around large technology companies is longstanding
  • Designing effective remedies is complex
  • Breakups can reveal hidden segment value
  • Lost synergies must be weighed against value realization

“that would actually highlight you know, more of the embedded value and and it would you know, actually help some of the stocks.”

Samantha McLemore · 50:29

“I would be surprised to see breakups.”

Samantha McLemore · 51:13
#big tech#regulation#breakups#sum of parts

Explainer· 3

Explainer30:43

Why Fast-Changing Technology Can Still Produce Durable Monopolies

McLemore recounts how research associated with the Santa Fe Institute and Brian Arthur changed Miller’s view of technology investments. Products may change rapidly, but increasing returns, path dependence, and customer lock-in can make technology market share unexpectedly stable.

  • Rapid product change does not necessarily imply unstable market share
  • Path dependence can reinforce incumbent advantages
  • Technology has produced some of history’s largest monopolies
  • Competitive durability should be analyzed at the system level

“there is lock in and past dependence that makes uh, you know, the stability of those earnings much better than it would appear”

Samantha McLemore · 32:09
#technology#network effects#monopolies#complexity
Explainer41:13

How ETF Flows May Homogenize Stocks in the Short Term

McLemore says there is not yet firm evidence that passive investing has made markets broadly less efficient. She nevertheless observes that ETF allocation and market structure can cause groups of stocks to move together temporarily, irrespective of individual fundamentals.

  • Passive investing remains a major secular trend
  • Evidence of broad efficiency loss is still limited
  • ETF flows can move groups of securities together
  • Fundamentals may reassert themselves over longer horizons

“we haven't seen data or evidence to support that it's made the markets less efficient yet”

Samantha McLemore · 41:37

“stocks will move together as a group in the short term, irrespective of fundamentals.”

Samantha McLemore · 42:44
#passive investing#etfs#market structure#efficiency
Explainer51:30

Why Intangible Investment Makes Traditional Valuation Signals Misleading

Modern companies often expense investments in software, intellectual property, customer acquisition, and other intangible assets through the income statement. McLemore argues that analysts must distinguish the costs supporting today’s business from investments intended to build future value, even though disclosures make that difficult.

  • Accounting treatment can obscure intangible investment
  • Price-to-book comparisons may be misleading
  • Current expenses can contain spending intended to generate future growth
  • Company-specific economic analysis is essential

“if you're a quant fund and you're just doing uh you know, accounting metrics, again, that's pretty problematic.”

Samantha McLemore · 52:51

“a lot of those investments are running through the income statement now”

Samantha McLemore · 53:32
#intangibles#accounting#valuation#capital investment

Story· 4

Story03:46

The 2008 Lesson Hidden Inside a Great Buying Opportunity

McLemore recalls recognizing the long-term opportunity during the financial crisis while underestimating near-term survival risk. The episode became one of the most instructive experiences of her career and prompted a broad review of the team’s investment approach.

  • Extreme pessimism can create exceptional long-term value
  • An investor must survive before long-term value can be realized
  • Painful periods can expose weaknesses in an investment process
  • Different crises require different balances between offense and defense

“it was one of the most instructive and helpful uh you know things you know for me to do as an investor”

Samantha McLemore · 04:17

“I probably didn't appreciate to the appropriate extent the nerror term, you know, survival risks”

Samantha McLemore · 05:30
#financial crisis#survival#investing#risk
Story38:24

How a Reluctant Peloton Purchase Became an Investment Idea

McLemore initially resisted buying an expensive Peloton but became an enthusiastic user after giving one to her husband. That direct experience prompted research when the company went public and helped her see that the market misunderstood the breadth and engagement of the product.

  • Personal experience can generate investment ideas
  • Product familiarity can deepen business understanding
  • User enthusiasm is a starting signal, not a substitute for valuation
  • The team exited when the stock became fully priced

“I had that idea because um of my personal experience with Peloton”

Samantha McLemore · 38:27

“if living in the world and coming across things, um I I definitely believe that that can be a source of both you know, better…”

Samantha McLemore · 39:33
#peloton#idea generation#consumer research#product experience
Story55:36

Jeff Bezos’s Washing-Machine Analogy Predicted the Internet’s Next Phase

McLemore remembers Bezos comparing the early internet to a dangerous, inconvenient early washing machine that had to be connected through a light socket. The analogy suggested that digital infrastructure was still primitive and that easier technology would unlock a much larger wave of adoption and innovation.

  • Early transformative technologies are often difficult to use
  • Infrastructure improvements expand adoption
  • Cloud computing and smartphones reduced friction dramatically
  • The analogy became more powerful in hindsight

“he likened where we were at the Internet at that time, uh, you know, to that, and he said, we're so early here and things…”

Samantha McLemore · 56:29

“the infrastructure was fully built out in a way and you know AWS and cloud uh you know was built out that it allowed this…”

Samantha McLemore · 57:01
#internet#innovation#jeff bezos#technology adoption
Story59:25

The Foreclosure Auction That Turned an Investor Into an Innkeeper

McLemore unexpectedly bought a Vermont inn after making the second bid at a foreclosure auction. She reopened it rapidly for the winter season, learned difficult lessons about absentee ownership and working with family, turned it around, and later sold it.

  • The purchase began as an opportunistic foreclosure visit
  • The inn had to reopen before Vermont’s busy winter season
  • Absentee ownership and family business created avoidable challenges
  • The experience clarified that investment analysis suited her better than operations

“I made every mistake you could possibly make as a you know, small business owner, Austin tee owner going into business with family.”

Samantha McLemore · 1:00:55

“I realized I I will stick to the markets where I can you know, sit here and read and learn.”

Samantha McLemore · 1:01:07
#entrepreneurship#hospitality#small business#vermont

Takeaway· 2

Takeaway16:43

Run Investment Management as a Profession, Not Just a Business

McLemore explains that Patient Capital was designed around a partners-first and clients-first mission. Drawing on Charlie Ellis, she distinguishes a profession that prioritizes client outcomes from a business that primarily optimizes its own growth.

  • Client interests should lead organizational decisions
  • Asset growth can conflict with investment quality
  • Mission shaped the design of Patient Capital
  • Visible women role models can expand perceived career possibilities

“investment managers should operate more as a profession in other words, doing what's best for the client, rather than as a business doing what's best…”

Samantha McLemore · 17:04

“the more people they see like them, uh, you know, doing a job I think the more they can see themselves doing it”

Samantha McLemore · 17:27
#fiduciary duty#clients#business culture#women in finance
Takeaway1:07:31

How a New Graduate Can Break Into Investment Management

McLemore recommends finance to people who genuinely enjoy continual learning, competition, and measurable results. Her practical advice is to seek any credible entry point, ignore blanket claims that the career is inaccessible, teach yourself broadly, and demonstrate an eagerness to add value.

  • Investment management rewards learning and competition
  • The field is meritocratic but highly pressurized
  • Candidates should pursue entry points rather than self-reject
  • Passion, self-education, attitude, and helpfulness matter

“just get your foot in the door. However you can.”

Samantha McLemore · 1:08:17

“don't ever tell let people tell you you can't accomplish something.”

Samantha McLemore · 1:08:39
#finance careers#graduates#investment management#career advice