Why Private-Equity Returns Can Look More Precise Than They Are
Private portfolio companies lack continuous market prices, leaving managers discretion over interim valuations until an actual sale occurs. Morgenson also argues that private equity's historical outperformance faded around the financial crisis, weakening the case for paying high fees and accepting illiquidity and opacity.
- Acquisition and exit prices are observable, but interim marks are discretionary
- Managers responsible for reporting values may have incentives affecting those marks
- Private-equity outperformance reportedly faded in the mid-2000s
- Low-cost index funds provide daily pricing and transparency
- Similar returns make fees, illiquidity, and opaque valuations harder to justify
“because you haven't had a mark, you haven't had a buyer, I tell you exactly what it's worth until the end of the line”
“It stopped out performing in like the mid two thousand so, or you know, towards two thousand and eight”