Why Hedge-Fund Scale Forces Money Into Crowded Strategies
Hurst says markets contain thousands of possible profit mechanisms but only dozens that can absorb very large sums. As funds grow, they must allocate more capital to those scalable, well-known trades, increasing overlap with similarly large competitors and exposure to synchronized exits.
- Many strategies exist but few offer large dollar capacity
- Large funds must prioritize scalable opportunities
- Competitors of similar size tend to hold similar trades
- Diversification helps but cannot eliminate liquidation spillovers
- Smaller size permits access to less crowded opportunities
“There are literally thousands of different types of ways to make money in the markets, thousands, but there's only dozens of ways of making money…”
“The way you avoid that is by being smaller, focusing on smaller strategies.”