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Deven Parekh15 August 2025

Deven Parekh on the State of Startup Investing

4Frameworks
12Insights

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Frameworks in this episode

Insights & moments

The myth-busts, hot takes, explainers, and tools worth keeping.

Myth Buster· 2

Myth Buster33:19

A Startup's Initial Market Is Not Its Final TAM

Parekh argues that total addressable markets are not static. A company can enter through a narrow product or customer segment and later expand its offering, as Uber moved beyond the original black-car market through UberX and other services.

  • Early-stage market sizing is an educated estimate rather than a fixed fact.
  • Investors commonly underestimate markets that can expand through product evolution.
  • A narrow initial use case can act as a Trojan horse into larger markets.
  • Founder quality and pattern recognition matter when expansion cannot yet be measured.

“it's a common mistake to underestimated market”

Deven Parekh · 33:56

“tams are not static”

Deven Parekh · 34:27
#tam#startups#market expansion#uber
Myth Buster42:14

The Simple Database Question That Weakened Insight's Crypto Thesis

After meeting hundreds of crypto companies, Insight struggled to identify clear user benefits that could not be delivered through conventional databases. Parekh does not rule out future winners, but says the firm could not consistently see a clear business use, willingness to pay, and scalable model.

  • Technical complexity is not a substitute for a user-level advantage.
  • A crypto application should explain why a conventional database cannot solve the problem.
  • Investable applications need a clear business use and payment model.
  • Choosing not to focus on a sector can reflect limited edge rather than certainty that it will fail.

“tell me what it is about your application that makes it better than if it were just in a relational database”

Deven Parekh · 42:41

“here's a clear business use, here's a clear payment for that business use, and here's how they can scale.”

Deven Parekh · 43:30
#crypto#product value#databases#investment thesis

Hot Take· 2

Hot Take36:40

Every Company Is Now an AI Company

Parekh says AI should be considered in every investment and board meeting, even when a company is not marketed as an AI business. Mature companies can use it to create products, accelerate revenue, reduce costs, or improve margins, while newer companies may be AI-native.

  • Ignoring AI is risky across venture, buyout, and service businesses.
  • Mature companies should examine both revenue expansion and cost reduction.
  • Early-stage companies can build AI-native products for specific verticals.
  • AI's effects extend into healthcare, policy, and other non-software institutions.

“every company to some degree is an AI company.”

Deven Parekh · 37:35

“every board meeting that we go to at Insight, we're talking about AI.”

Deven Parekh · 37:40
#ai#business models#software#transformation
Hot Take51:00

Investors Underprice Cyberattacks on Physical Infrastructure

Parekh believes people understand personal hacks and isolated ransomware but underestimate systemic attacks on electricity, water, and hospitals. He frames the possibility as an asymmetric risk whose consequences could be far larger than common experience suggests.

  • Personal phishing incidents do not capture the full scale of cyber risk.
  • Electrical grids and water-treatment systems are potential systemic targets.
  • Hospital outages demonstrate part of the danger but remain mostly isolated events.
  • The probability may be difficult to price even when the consequences are severe.

“I don't think we realize like the level of risk if physical infrastructure were kind of taken over”

Deven Parekh · 51:30

“it's an asymmetric risk.”

Deven Parekh · 52:20
#cybersecurity#infrastructure#tail risk

Explainer· 5

Explainer17:17

How Insight Onsite Embeds Expertise in Portfolio Companies

Insight created a large operating team designed to work at portfolio companies rather than from the investor's office. Specialists cover functions such as sales, marketing, product, customer introduction, strategy, and AI transformation, with support tailored to each company's stage.

  • Operating specialists work directly with portfolio companies.
  • Functional teams cover the main disciplines of a software organization.
  • Support is stage-specific because small and mature companies have different needs.
  • The model transfers best practices from inside and outside the portfolio.

“those team members are meant to be on site at the company as opposed to in our office.”

Deven Parekh · 17:31

“the recruiting needs for a company with five hundred million dollars revenue are very different than the recruiting needs for a company with five million…”

Deven Parekh · 18:13
#portfolio operations#software#value creation
Explainer19:06

Venture Buyouts Can Repair Fragmented Ownership

Parekh describes venture buyouts as a hybrid strategy for promising companies that remain too small for public markets or strategic acquirers. Buying control can return capital to existing shareholders, simplify a diffuse cap table, align the board, and enable strategic changes or acquisitions.

  • Many venture-backed companies lack the scale for a conventional exit.
  • Existing investors can sell or roll part of their position.
  • Control ownership can replace fragmented board incentives with alignment.
  • An aligned owner can fund acquisitions or other strategic changes.

“What happens in a lot of these venture companies is they have very diffuse cap tables.”

Deven Parekh · 20:11

“We're able to in that case clean up the cap table and then make whatever changes in strategy, team, whatever it might be, that are…”

Deven Parekh · 20:32
#venture buyouts#cap tables#private equity
Explainer35:14

Power Laws Apply From Seed Investing to Buyouts

The shape of investment outcomes remains uneven across stages, but the definition of success and loss changes. Seed portfolios may require a rare hundredfold return amid many failures, while buyouts need fewer losses plus several four- or fivefold winners.

  • Power-law outcomes are not exclusive to early-stage venture capital.
  • Seed investing tolerates many failures in pursuit of exceptional winners.
  • Series A investing needs multiple large winners while still accepting losses.
  • A buyout loss may mean a subpar multiple rather than a total write-off.

“depending on what stage, there's this view that like parallel only applies to venture, really applies to all stages.”

Deven Parekh · 36:00

“It's just a different power law.”

Deven Parekh · 35:39
#power law#portfolio construction#venture capital#buyouts
Explainer39:59

Where Application Companies Can Still Build AI Moats

Generic applications face greater platform risk, but vertical products can remain defensible when they embed domain expertise, proprietary data, and specific business processes. Parekh points to healthcare, legal, and construction applications as examples.

  • AI does not automatically eliminate software application companies.
  • Generic applications without specialized knowledge face higher risk.
  • Vertical domain expertise can create differentiation.
  • Proprietary data and embedded business processes strengthen defensibility.

“if you have an application that is serving a market where there's a lot of domain expertise or data required, you still have a moat.”

Deven Parekh · 40:11

“true business process vertical expertise couple with data modes.”

Deven Parekh · 40:48
#ai moats#vertical software#data#domain expertise
Explainer1:04:01

Your Gut Is a Database, Not Magic

Parekh describes intuition as rapid processing of accumulated experience rather than an inexplicable feeling. Its reliability depends on having relevant observations, which is why an experienced investor's discomfort can deserve attention even when headline financial metrics look attractive.

  • Intuition compresses many prior observations into a fast signal.
  • A young investor may lack the relevant database for investment intuition.
  • Gut judgment can be more reliable in domains where experience is deep.
  • Strong metrics should not automatically override unexplained discomfort.

“The reality is it's micro slicing a lot of data that you've experienced over your life.”

Deven Parekh · 1:04:17

“when I've overlooked my gut, it's not been. It's not been. It's it's not been a good thing.”

Deven Parekh · 1:04:42
#intuition#pattern recognition#decision making#investing

Takeaway· 3

Takeaway09:47

Why Bad Markets Teach More Than Booms

Parekh says joining venture investing just before the dot-com correction forced him to work deeply inside struggling businesses. Difficult periods reveal weak models and require investors to pursue the best attainable outcome rather than simply cheer growth.

  • Booms can conceal whether results come from skill or a rising market.
  • Struggling portfolio companies force investors to understand business mechanics.
  • Losses and adverse periods often produce more durable learning than easy wins.

“It's easy to be a cheerleader when things are great. It's a lot harder to have to kind of dig into a business”

Deven Parekh · 11:01

“the worst time sometimes are the ones we're going to learn the most.”

Deven Parekh · 11:18
#learning#market cycles#venture capital
Takeaway20:50

Why Insight Tries to Grow Partners From Within

Insight emphasizes that analysts can rise to the firm's highest levels, with many senior partners having developed internally. Parekh links visible advancement, autonomy, and permission to explore new investment areas with a positive entrepreneurial culture.

  • A credible path from analyst to senior partner improves internal opportunity.
  • Many of the firm's leading partners developed inside Insight.
  • Autonomy encourages investors to discover new markets.
  • Visible internal promotion reinforces entrepreneurial behavior.

“If you join Insight as an analyst, you can make it to the top.”

Deven Parekh · 22:00

“we give people a lot of autonomy, We give people a lot of ability to find new areas to invest in, and magic happens.”

Deven Parekh · 22:12
#culture#talent development#leadership
Takeaway1:01:06

Why Narrow Expertise Can Make Investors Less Effective

Parekh advises young professionals not to consume only material directly related to their desired career. Broad interests make people more interesting, can create unexpected connections in deals, and expose them to ideas that recommendation-driven media would never surface.

  • Career-focused media alone produces a narrow intellectual base.
  • Outside interests can build relationships and improve investing judgment.
  • Trying unexpected opportunities preserves serendipity in career development.
  • Browsing broad publications can reveal important topics outside existing interests.

“keep your intellectual curiosity broad”

Deven Parekh · 1:01:06

“allow a little serendipity in your life”

Deven Parekh · 1:02:06
#curiosity#career advice#serendipity#learning