The Limits of Portnoy's “Stocks Always Go Up” Claim
Portnoy contrasts open-ended stock ownership with sports bets that settle permanently at the final whistle, arguing that patience can allow losses to recover. The host challenges the claim by distinguishing diversified indexes from individual companies, which can fail; Portnoy responds that he mainly holds large brand-name stocks and treats speculative positions as short-term trades.
- Portnoy stopped shorting after losing heavily.
- He believes time and patience can allow many holdings to recover.
- The host notes that individual stocks can go to zero even when indexes rise over time.
- Portnoy distinguishes major companies from penny stocks and distressed names.
- The exchange reveals significant risk and overconfidence in his informal trading philosophy.
“I do overall believe if you just hold, and you have the time to hold, stocks will always go up.”
“That's true if you're brought buying broad indo indexes or buying broad asset classes. Hey, stocks as a hole always go up. But as we've…”