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Brian Deese21 February 2020

Brian Deese on What’s Driving ESG Investing

3Frameworks
11Insights

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Frameworks in this episode

Insights & moments

The myth-busts, hot takes, explainers, and tools worth keeping.

Myth Buster· 2

Myth Buster21:45

Sustainable Investing No Longer Requires Trading Value for Values

Deese rejects the traditional assumption that sustainability necessarily sacrifices return. BlackRock's position is that investors can integrate material sustainability insights while matching or potentially improving long-term financial performance, although separating useful insight from noise remains difficult.

  • The historical framing assumed a tradeoff between returns and values
  • Sustainability integration is presented as a fiduciary investment judgment
  • Material insight must be distinguished from noise
  • Structural changes may improve the long-term positioning of sustainable portfolios

“you were trading value for values. Our view is that that's in the rear view mirror.”

Brian Deese · 22:08

“you can build a portfolio integrate sustainability and at least do as well and likely position yourself to do better over the long term”

Brian Deese · 22:29
#sustainable investing#returns#fiduciary duty#portfolio strategy
Myth Buster23:08

Why ESG's Investment Case Is Bigger Than a Closet Technology Bet

Deese says the sustainability thesis does not depend on a short period of ESG-fund outperformance. Its deeper basis is a set of structural forces, including physical climate effects, technological change, investor preferences, and a major intergenerational transfer of wealth.

  • Recent performance alone is insufficient evidence
  • Physical and technological climate risks are structural drivers
  • Investor preferences are changing
  • Intergenerational wealth transfer may sustain demand shifts
  • A long transition can prolong changes in relative valuation

“our conviction around the materiality these issues is not based principally or solely on limited period of performance over over a limited period of time.”

Brian Deese · 23:08

“we believe that those structural factors are going to actually sustain this shift for some significant period of time.”

Brian Deese · 23:47
#esg#technology stocks#structural trends#investor demand

Hot Take· 3

Hot Take11:50

The Next Energy Decade Belongs to the Utilities of the Future

The next phase of the energy transition will extend beyond replacing coal with gas and adding renewables. Electrification, distributed generation, and storage will make the grid more complex, creating infrastructure stress as well as new commercial opportunities.

  • Gas displaced coal while renewables entered the grid rapidly
  • Electrification will increase the grid's importance
  • Generation and storage will become more distributed
  • The grid must handle power entering from multiple sources
  • New complexity will create both stresses and opportunities

“the story of the next decade is really going to be about what happens not the future of utilities, but the utilities of the future,”

Brian Deese · 11:53

“we're gonna move increasingly toward a scenario where we are electrifying everything,”

Brian Deese · 12:00
#electric grid#utilities#distributed energy#storage
Hot Take38:37

Combining Electrification and Autonomy Could Reshape Transport Economics

Deese expects transport electrification to advance unevenly rather than along a straight line. Combining electric powertrains with autonomous operation could create sudden changes in vehicle utilization and cost competitiveness, provided infrastructure and technical complexity are addressed.

  • The overall direction is toward electrification
  • Adoption speed depends on both technology and policy
  • Charging and transport infrastructure require forward planning
  • Autonomy can improve the economics of electric vehicles
  • Converging technologies may disrupt established transport modes

“the direction of travel is clear toward electrifying everything.”

Brian Deese · 38:37

“the path towards towards electrification in the transport sector is not going to be straight.”

Brian Deese · 40:16
#electric vehicles#autonomy#transport#infrastructure
Hot Take47:46

The Hardest Climate Problem May Be Institutional Capacity

Deese is optimistic about technological innovation and rising public energy around climate issues, but pessimistic about whether institutions can coordinate and execute change. The challenge spans private organizations and governments, with democratic systems facing particular difficulty.

  • Technological progress has repeatedly exceeded expectations
  • Public fear, anger, and energy may keep climate issues prominent
  • Effective action requires coordination across institutions
  • Government and private-sector capacity both matter
  • Democratic institutions face serious execution challenges

“we would have consistently underestimated the degree to which human innovation technological innovation can come together to change things.”

Brian Deese · 47:55

“we're gonna have to have a degree of coordinated action with institutions actually working together”

Brian Deese · 49:08
#institutions#climate action#democracy#coordination

Explainer· 3

Explainer09:39

How the Paris Agreement Turned a Climate Fight Into an Economic Race

Deese argues that the Paris Agreement changed the international framing of climate action. Instead of developed and developing countries fighting over responsibility, countries began competing to capture the industries and economic gains created by the low-carbon transition.

  • Climate negotiations had divided developed and developing countries
  • Paris established a shared direction without eliminating competition
  • Clean-energy leadership offers substantial economic opportunity
  • Participation serves economic and national-security interests

“What Paris did was changed that from head to head fight into a race.”

Brian Deese · 09:58

“the question is which countries can actually get ahead in being the clean energy superpowers of the twenty one century.”

Brian Deese · 10:04
#paris agreement#climate policy#clean energy#geopolitics
Explainer16:21

Why Financial Markets Will Pull Distant Climate Risk Into Today's Prices

Traditional financial models often look backward or assume climatic stability. Once investors can identify and measure future physical risks, markets can reflect them in current mortgage, insurance, municipal-finance, and duration decisions long before the physical impact arrives.

  • Many financial models assume past physical stability will continue
  • Thirty-year mortgages already overlap previously distant climate horizons
  • Annual insurance resets can undermine long-duration lending
  • Municipal finance may be repriced as local risks become measurable
  • Measurable future risks can affect present asset values

“Most of the financial models and the financial approaches that we've taken are either backward looking or they rely on this assumption of climactic stability,”

Brian Deese · 16:25

“One thing the financial markets are good at is pulling forward risk once they can identify and measure it.”

Brian Deese · 17:53
#climate risk#mortgages#insurance#municipal finance#duration
Explainer29:41

What the Social Factor in ESG Actually Measures

Deese distills the social component of ESG into management of internal and external stakeholders. Internal measures include employee treatment, diversity, pay, and workplace practices, while external measures cover customers, communities, supply chains, and operational impact.

  • Employees are the primary internal stakeholders
  • Diversity, inclusion, pay, and flexibility affect engagement and retention
  • Customers and communities are major external stakeholders
  • Supply-chain management is part of social performance
  • Relevant practices should connect to drivers of return

“Who are your internal stakeholds, mostly your employees, So diversity inclusion, pay, flexible workplace practices,”

Brian Deese · 29:51

“External stakeholders, about the communities you operate in, and about the stakeholders that who are your customers,”

Brian Deese · 30:04
#social factors#stakeholders#employees#supply chain#esg

Story· 1

Story04:51

Why Saving GM and Chrysler Still Required Bankruptcy

Deese recounts the decision process behind the auto-industry intervention during the financial crisis. The administration sought to prevent second- and third-order economic damage while forcing enough stakeholder sacrifice and corporate change to make the rescue viable, ultimately using bankruptcy as part of the solution.

  • More than one million jobs were estimated to be at risk
  • Suppliers, dealers, and communities expanded the consequences beyond direct employees
  • The intervention was designed to be targeted and require stakeholder sacrifice
  • Both companies entered bankruptcy despite receiving government support
  • Deese estimates the overall government effort cost about $10 billion

“the suppliers, the dealers that the the auto industry touches UM a lot of communities and a lot of jobs.”

Brian Deese · 06:09

“we did ultimately decide that the way to actually get the level of um sacrifice necessary, that the level of changes in these companies was…”

Brian Deese · 06:36
#auto bailout#financial crisis#bankruptcy#industrial policy

Takeaway· 2

Takeaway30:44

The Cheapest Decarbonization Opportunities May Be Hiding in Efficiency

Public attention often gravitates toward wind, solar, and electric vehicles, but Deese says some of the largest and cheapest current opportunities are efficiency technologies. Better buildings, materials, and industrial processes can cut emissions while reducing operating costs.

  • Energy production dominates popular perceptions of decarbonization
  • Efficiency offers significant opportunities at relatively low cost
  • Buildings and industrial materials are major targets
  • Reduced energy consumption improves business economics
  • Carbon efficiency affects nearly every sector

“The actually the lowest cost and most significant opportunities for decarbonization today operate in the broad space of efficiency”

Brian Deese · 31:03

“This is not just about oil companies and utilities.”

Brian Deese · 32:32
#energy efficiency#decarbonization#buildings#industrial technology
Takeaway49:49

Finance Can Unlock Climate Progress by Making Risk Visible

Policy remains necessary for full-scale climate action, but finance can accelerate progress before policy is complete. Clear facts, data, analytics, and explicit risk implications can change how capital is allocated and how institutions respond.

  • Policy solutions remain necessary
  • Finance has an independent role in accelerating progress
  • Transparent data can alter decisions
  • Risk analytics translate climate factors into financial terms
  • Clear implications matter as much as raw information

“you can unlock a lot of progress by just uh putting facts in data out there and being clear about the implications”

Brian Deese · 50:04

“there's a lot uh that finance can do by being clear about risk and data and analytics.”

Brian Deese · 50:17
#climate finance#data#risk analytics#capital allocation