Why New Housing Does Not Automatically Destroy a Neighborhood
Warshaw acknowledges that incumbent homeowners can have an economic incentive to restrict supply, since scarcity may support property values. He argues, however, that observed development does not produce the dramatic value collapses, traffic jams, or instant school overcrowding opponents predict because new homes arrive gradually and communities adapt.
- Existing owners may benefit financially from constrained supply.
- Cultural concerns compound the economic incentive to resist development.
- New housing is generally phased rather than delivered all at once.
- Warshaw says evidence does not show the catastrophic neighborhood effects commonly predicted.
“there is just this literal economic self interest to not want to allow more homes into your neighborhood.”
“what you don't see is home values plunging. You don't see wild traffic jams or the schools getting filled up.”