Why an Equity Grant Is Usually Not a Lottery Ticket
The discussion challenges the assumption that employee stock routinely creates extraordinary wealth. Fishman says market gains are concentrated in a small minority of stocks, while most individual stocks lose over their full lifetimes.
- About four percent of stocks account for most market returns.
- Roughly eighty percent of employees sell shares after vesting.
- Sixty-three percent of stocks are described as lifetime losers.
- Exceptional equity outcomes are rarer than employees may assume.
“it's about four percent of stocks are responsible for the vast majority of market returns.”
“sixty three percent of stocks are losers throughout the course of their lifetime.”