Negative Bond Yields Are Strange, but Not Historically Unprecedented
Ang shifts attention from nominal yields to real rates and notes that negative real rates have occurred before. He also places nominally negative yields beside historical wealth-destruction mechanisms such as confiscation, demonetization, and restrictions on holding gold.
- Real rates may be more informative than nominal rates
- Negative real rates have historical precedents
- Governments have previously imposed other forms of wealth destruction
- Quality, trends, and resilience remain relevant in negative-yield environments
“what's really relevant here is the real rate rather than the nominal relative to inflation”
“It's actually we've had these episodes before.”